In a ‘race’ defined by economic and pandemic perspectives, and determined by wide gaps in gender and education, Joe Biden maintains a 10-point national advantage against Donald Trump, according to a new poll by ABC News/Washington Post.
The 54% -44% advantage of Biden, Democrat, over Trump, Republican, corresponds precisely to the last national poll ABC/Post, in mid-August. Biden’s support drops to 49% when Libertarian Party and Green Party candidates are included, against 43% for Trump.
The results thus underscore Trump’s “weak” position as the first President in 81 years of modern polls to never win majority approval for his job in office. It has a 44% approval rate among all Americans, ranging from 52% for the management of the economy to 40% for the covid-19 pandemic. According to the poll, 58% disapprove of his performance and the way he has handled the outbreak – a key supporting factor for Biden.
At the same time, the presence of libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins may pose a challenge for Biden in nearby states. Biden’s 5-point decline when these candidates are included is a significant, albeit slight, change, the survey points out.
Another conclusion indicates a “broad antipathy towards Trump”: among those who do not support him, 59% say that his re-election would be a crisis for the country. Among those who do not support Biden, less – but still 50% – say there would be a crisis if he won.
It is also true that national preferences do not always reflect the results of the Electoral College, as was the case in 2016 and 2000.
Trump and Biden meet this Tuesday for their first presidential campaign debate. The elections are scheduled for 3 November.