Moving average deaths by Covid-19 in DF fall again after registering high

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The moving average of deaths by Covid-19 in the Federal District dropped to 18.2 this Saturday (17/10). The fall was registered one day after the indicator rose and re-approached the level of 20 daily deaths, which has been below since last Tuesday (6/10).

In comparison with the moving average calculated 15 days ago, there was a fall of 7.3%, which indicates stability in the number of deaths.

Due to the incubation time of the new coronavirus, the experts’ recommendation to compare the daily moving average with that of two weeks ago was adopted. Fluctuations in the number of deaths or cases of up to 15% more or less characterize invariability.

Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, the DF has already notified 204,300 infections and 3,539 deaths due to the disease. In the last 24 hours, there were 13 deaths and 728 new infections.

Moving average

Tracking the progress of the Covid-19 pandemic based on absolute death or case data is far from ideal. That’s because they can have very large daily variations, especially delays in records. On weekends, for example, it is common to notice a significant reduction in numbers.

To lessen this effect and produce a more accurate view, the moving average is widely used around the world. The rate represents the sum of the deaths reported in a week divided by seven. The name “mobile” is because it varies according to the total number of deaths in the previous seven days.

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