The moving average of deaths by Covid-19 in the Federal District rose to 14.4 this Thursday (10/22). The indicator grew after falling in the last two days (20 and 10/21).
In comparison with the moving average calculated 15 days ago, there was a decrease of 5.6%, which indicates stability in the number of deaths.
Due to the incubation time of the new coronavirus, the experts’ recommendation to compare the day’s moving average with that of two weeks ago was adopted. Fluctuations in the number of deaths or cases of up to 15% more or less characterize invariability.
Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, the DF has already notified 207,700 infections and 3,600 deaths due to the disease. In the last 24 hours, there were 13 deaths and 590 new infections.
Tracking the progress of the Covid-19 pandemic based on absolute death or case data is far from ideal. That’s because they can have very large daily variations, especially delays in records. On weekends, for example, it is common to notice a significant reduction in numbers.
To lessen this effect and produce a more accurate view, the moving average is widely used around the world. The rate represents the sum of the deaths reported in a week divided by seven. The name “mobile” is because it varies according to the total number of deaths in the previous seven days.