COVID-19 | Brazil is in the ninth week followed by an acceleration of the pandemic


According to new data from Imperial College, London, the contagion rate of COVID-19 in Brazil has stopped falling, after three consecutive weeks of deceleration. For nine weeks, the rate has been higher than 1, meaning that the pandemic here is not yet close to being controlled.

This week, the rate, also called Rt, reached 1.06, showing that every 100 people infected with the new coronavirus transmit it to 106 others, who transmit it to 112.36 others, following this way. According to the WHO (World Health Organization), countries that are experiencing the rapid contagion of the disease need more agility with tests and screening, as a way to reduce the rate of contamination.

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In South America, only Brazil and Colombia, among six countries that have been monitored, did not show a reduction in the contagion rate. The ranking considers the nations that are with active transmission of the disease, that is, that register at least 10 deaths in the previous two weeks, 10 in each week, or that present the minimum of 100 deaths since the beginning of the pandemic.

The ranking now looks like this compared to last week:

  • Colombia – From 1.1 to 1.36;
  • Argentina- From 1.29 to 1.2;
  • Chile – From 1.12 to 1.08;
  • Bolivia – From 1.36 to 1.07;
  • Brazil from 1.05 to 1.06;
  • Peru from 1.36 to 1.02.

Also according to the researchers at Imperial College, the estimate is that the total number of COVID-19 cases in Brazil is three times what is declared, reaching possibly more than three million infected.

This information is obtained from the death registry, considering that the total number of deaths is equivalent to 1.38% of the cases announced in the last two weeks. So, to have 52,645 deaths, as announced last Tuesday, the total number of contaminated in Brazil would exceed 3.8 million.

Source: leaf

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